Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for BUD-12 in Mexico from 22 May 2012 09:00 UTC to 24 May 2012 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BUD-12

in Mexico

Meteorological source:

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BUD-12 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	185 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (26 May 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	185 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	1.5
Overall	185 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

185 km/h Current Max.

Up to 300000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	21 May 2012 03:00	148	No people	No people
2	21 May 2012 09:00	158	No people	No people
3	21 May 2012 15:00	158	No people	No people
4	21 May 2012 21:00	148	No people	No people
5	22 May 2012 03:00	148	No people	No people
6	22 May 2012 09:00	148	No people	No people
7	22 May 2012 15:00	64	No people	No people
8	22 May 2012 21:00	93	No people	No people
9	23 May 2012 03:00	74	No people	No people
10	23 May 2012 09:00	93	No people	No people
11	23 May 2012 15:00	121	No people	No people
12	23 May 2012 21:00	101	No people	No people
13	24 May 2012 03:00	138	No people	No people	Mexico
14	24 May 2012 09:00	158	No people	No people	Mexico
15	24 May 2012 15:00	175	No people	No people	Mexico
16	24 May 2012 21:00	185	No people	300 thousand	Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	5/21/2012 3:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	9.3, -99.6
2	5/21/2012 9:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	9.4, -100.1
3	5/21/2012 3:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	9.2, -101
4	5/21/2012 9:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	9.6, -101
5	5/22/2012 3:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	9.8, -101.8
6	5/22/2012 9:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	10.4, -103
7	5/22/2012 3:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	11.1, -104
8	5/22/2012 9:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	12, -105
9	5/23/2012 3:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	12.9, -105.9
10	5/23/2012 9:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	13.3, -106.5
11	5/23/2012 3:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	101	no people	no people	13.4, -107.6
12	5/23/2012 9:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	101	no people	no people	13.9, -107.8
13	5/24/2012 3:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	14.2, -107.9
14	5/24/2012 9:00:00 AM	Category 1	138	no people	no people	15, -107.5
15	5/24/2012 3:00:00 PM	Category 2	167	no people	no people	15.7, -106.7
16	5/24/2012 9:00:00 PM	Category 2	175	no people	no people	16.4, -106.4
16	5/25/2012 6:00:00 AM	Category 3	185	no people	510000 people	17.4, -105.9	Mexico
16	5/25/2012 6:00:00 PM	Category 2	158	59000 people	1.5 million people	18.6, -105.4	Mexico
16	5/26/2012 6:00:00 AM	Category 1	121	360000 people	1.6 million people	19.8, -105.2	Mexico
16	5/26/2012 6:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	84	360000 people	1.4 million people	20.5, -105.1	Mexico
16	5/27/2012 6:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	56	12000 people	290000 people	19.5, -105.5	Mexico
16	5/28/2012 6:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	19, -105.5	Mexico

Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country	Region Province
Mexico	Jalisco
Mexico	Nayarit

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Puerto Vallarta	Jalisco	Mexico	City	190000 people
Talpa de Allende	Jalisco	Mexico	City	-
La Cruz de Loreto	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
El Tule	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
San José	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
Tomaltan	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
La Ordeña	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
Chamela	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
San José del Valle	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
San Francisco	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
El Tuito	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
Beoto	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
Paulo	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
Concepción	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
Santa Cruz	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
San Gerónimo	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
Carrizal	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
El Corrido	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
Gargantillo	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
Tetilla	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
La Cuesta	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
Cacaluta	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
Agua Caliente	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
Aguacate	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
Agua Zarca	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
Aparicio	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
Apazulco	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
Barandillas	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
Cabra	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
Cacao	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
Chola	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
Cuitzmala	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
El Aserradero del Reparo	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
El Crucero	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
El Jorullo	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
El Limón	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
El Moral	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
El Mosco	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
El Refugio	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
El Tunal	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
Estanzuela	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
La Palapa	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
Los Metates	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-
Puentecillas	Jalisco	Mexico	Village	-

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
La Gloria		34
Lic Gustavo Diaz Ordaz International	PVR	6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	10100

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Puerto Vallarta	MXPVR	Mexico
Chamela		Mexico
El Tabaco		Mexico

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year	Volume	Usage
Cajon de Pena	Cajon de Pena	Tomatlan	1978	1	57

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Cuitzmala, Mexico. This height is estimated for 26 May 2012 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (24 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 21 of 26 May 2012 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 2 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	26 May 2012 00:00	Cuitzmala	Mexico	0.3
	26 May 2012 01:00	Chamela	Mexico	0.3
	26 May 2012 02:00	Chola	Mexico	0.3
	25 May 2012 23:00	Santiago	Mexico	0.2
	25 May 2012 23:00	Manzanillo	Mexico	0.2
	25 May 2012 23:00	Barra de Navidad	Mexico	0.2
	26 May 2012 00:00	La Manzanilla	Mexico	0.2
	26 May 2012 10:00	Ipala	Mexico	0.2
	25 May 2012 22:00	Cayaca	Mexico	0.1
	25 May 2012 22:00	San Telmo	Mexico	0.1
	25 May 2012 22:00	El Real	Mexico	0.1
	25 May 2012 22:00	Chupadero	Mexico	0.1
	25 May 2012 22:00	Apisa	Mexico	0.1
	25 May 2012 22:00	El Ciruelo	Mexico	0.1
	25 May 2012 22:00	Estrecho	Mexico	0.1
	25 May 2012 23:00	Cuyutlan	Mexico	0.1
	26 May 2012 12:00	Punta Mita	Mexico	0.1
	26 May 2012 12:00	Pizota	Mexico	0.1
	26 May 2012 12:00	Corrales	Mexico	0.1
	26 May 2012 12:00	Aquiles Serdan	Mexico	0.1
	26 May 2012 13:00	Monteon	Mexico	0.1
	26 May 2012 13:00	San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	26 May 2012 13:00	Cruz de Juanacaxtle	Mexico	0.1
	26 May 2012 13:00	Puerto Vallarta	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.